Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.480065 0.550344 0.626561 0.715258 0.815541 0.925304 1.054441
2025-03-09 0.371028 0.465765 0.577249 0.717701 0.889475 1.092243 1.349243
2025-03-16 0.286545 0.391388 0.524428 0.704638 0.941243 1.240045 1.644557
2025-03-23 0.234784 0.346642 0.498732 0.718749 1.026626 1.439483 2.031825
2025-03-30 0.188644 0.299788 0.461042 0.709053 1.077119 1.598536 2.387127
2025-04-06 0.158144 0.269040 0.439839 0.717641 1.152451 1.799533 2.825274
2025-04-13 0.128506 0.233479 0.404695 0.698409 1.181824 1.935258 3.183048
2025-04-20 0.113089 0.218063 0.398344 0.722682 1.280837 2.186894 3.746120
2025-04-27 0.101165 0.206280 0.395714 0.751909 1.390612 2.466822 4.384775
2025-05-04 0.088492 0.190549 0.383282 0.761464 1.466864 2.698494 4.967498
2025-05-11 0.076718 0.174198 0.366822 0.760622 1.523399 2.901063 5.520180
2025-05-18 0.066856 0.159775 0.351551 0.759285 1.577847 3.104284 6.093316
2025-05-25 0.057969 0.145932 0.335642 0.755192 1.628180 3.308709 6.697305
2025-06-01 0.051696 0.136740 0.327960 0.766838 1.711202 3.583840 7.463938
2025-06-08 0.044836 0.124729 0.312123 0.758633 1.752329 3.782039 8.103024
2025-06-15 0.040734 0.118699 0.308785 0.777432 1.852722 4.108600 9.029428
2025-06-22 0.035575 0.108804 0.294659 0.769307 1.893074 4.316031 9.734179
2025-06-29 0.032116 0.102768 0.288907 0.780050 1.976975 4.623277 10.676788
2025-07-06 0.027671 0.092913 0.271752 0.760175 1.987193 4.772260 11.295949
2025-07-13 0.025790 0.090250 0.273026 0.787034 2.111954 5.186586 12.533361
2025-07-20 0.024268 0.088369 0.276118 0.819065 2.253200 5.651832 13.926966
2025-07-27 0.022123 0.083996 0.271473 0.829663 2.341950 6.004456 15.096886
2025-08-03 0.019858 0.078678 0.263169 0.828909 2.401382 6.293663 16.146362